Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.437324 0.513913 0.597994 0.696882 0.809722 0.934182 1.081552
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.321618 0.423623 0.546700 0.704948 0.901699 1.136858 1.437626
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.246034 0.358070 0.504712 0.707930 0.979029 1.324626 1.794286
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.197492 0.313904 0.477470 0.719115 1.061042 1.520629 2.176581
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.160111 0.275950 0.449526 0.721001 1.125477 1.694533 2.541317
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125984 0.234963 0.408700 0.695501 1.143876 1.801741 2.818495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.109661 0.218916 0.402541 0.719719 1.235738 2.019306 3.268077
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.095332 0.203146 0.393667 0.737037 1.316655 2.224924 3.713331
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087651 0.197850 0.401314 0.781712 1.444383 2.510816 4.299786
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074637 0.179519 0.382661 0.777796 1.489698 2.668110 4.694156
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062987 0.161464 0.361494 0.765991 1.518973 2.799663 5.053928
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053846 0.146822 0.344492 0.759221 1.555293 2.943895 5.441781
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047793 0.138191 0.338812 0.774420 1.634549 3.169943 5.986971
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041944 0.128788 0.330097 0.782503 1.701272 3.379156 6.517837
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036559 0.119292 0.319629 0.785481 1.758068 3.574185 7.035899
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032511 0.112388 0.313904 0.797615 1.833552 3.807764 7.635792
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.028436 0.104374 0.304207 0.799636 1.888330 4.005906 8.182654
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023483 0.092368 0.282583 0.771710 1.877968 4.079143 8.503551
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021654 0.089675 0.284283 0.798212 1.985042 4.385400 9.275771
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019703 0.086060 0.282943 0.817160 2.077093 4.667453 10.016750
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019023 0.086691 0.293320 0.866018 2.239057 5.098105 11.064256
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016608 0.080367 0.283070 0.861737 2.280912 5.288202 11.654159
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014265 0.073552 0.270148 0.848829 2.301516 5.435378 12.166580